! Model for selecting Nature Reserves
at minimal cost so that the probability that each
of a number of species survives exceeds some
threshold.
This a simplification and variation of a model in
Camm, J., S. Norman, S. Polasky, and A. Solow(2002),
"Nature Reserve Site Selection to Maximize Expected Species Covered",
Operations Research, vol. 50, no. 6, (Nov-Dec), pp. 946-955;
! Keywords: Conservation, Nature reserve, Reserve, Environment, Ecology;
SETS:
SPECIES;
RESERVE: COST, Y;
SXR( SPECIES, RESERVE): PS;
ENDSETS DATA:
THRESH = .98; ! Survival threshold;
SPECIES = 1..5;
! Cost of using reserve j;
COST = 9 8 3 5 8 7 2 6 4;
! PS(i,j) = Probability SPECIES i survives in RESERVE j if opened;
PS =
1 0 0 1 .5 .26 .42 0 1
.4 1 1 .2 .7 .1 0 .9 0
0 1 0 0 .6 .3 0 .1 .09
.25 .27 1 .6 .55 0 .22 .37 .45
0 .67 0 .55 .77 .2 0 .52 .63 ;
ENDDATA
! Minimize the cost of reserves selected;
MIN = @SUM(RESERVE(j): COST(j)*Y(j));
! This is a rough linear approximation to the survival probability;
@FOR( SPECIES(i):
@SUM( RESERVE(j): PS(i,j)*Y(j)) >= THRESH;
);
! The reserve open variables are 0 or 1;
@FOR( RESERVE(j): @BIN( Y(j)));
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