The ElectProbsPop.lng Model

Compute the probability of outcomes in U.S. Presidential Election Electoral College.

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The overall model consists of two submodels:

a) A simple model to convert the fractions of decided
voters for each party in a state into a single
probability a specified party will get all electoral
votes from the state.

b) A computationally intense model to compute the
overall probability of a specifed party wins, given
the probability for each state of a win;

Keywords:

Election | Presidential Election | Electoral College | Probability of Winning |