The ElectProbsPop.lng Model

Compute the probability of outcomes in U.S. Presidential Election Electoral College.

View the model
Download the model

The overall model consists of two submodels:
a) A simple model to convert the fractions of decided voters for each party in a state into a single probability a specified party will get all electoral votes from the state.
b) A computationally intense model to compute the overall probability of a specifed party wins, given the probability for each state of a win;


Election | Presidential Election | Electoral College | Probability of Winning |