! Asset-Liability Management, Deterministic case;
! Each period we can buy and sell a variety of investments,
and we can borrow or lend for one period at a rate
specific to the period.
How should we invest each period?
! Keywords: Financial planning, Asset-Liability management,
Bonds, Yield curve;
SETS:
PERIOD: LEND, BORR, RLEND, RBORR, NEED, BORRMX;
ASSET: HOLDMX, HOLDIN;
PXA( PERIOD, ASSET): HOLD, BUY, SEL, PBUY, PSEL, PAYOUT;
ENDSETS DATA:
PERIOD = 1..7; ! There are 7 periods;
! External cash needs by period due to previous commitments;
NEED = -2000 -500 -400 -380 -360 -340 -300;
! Max we can borrow. Cannot borrow(and not repay) at end;
BORRMX = 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 0;
ASSET= F M D; ! Three investments available;
HOLDMX= 1 1 1; ! Maximum we can hold of each asset;
HOLDIN= 0 0 0; ! Initially we own nothing of anything;
PAYOUT= ! Payout or throw-off ;
0 0 0 ! by asset by period;
-1000 -500 -2000
-1800 1500 -1800
400 1500 1000
1800 1500 1000
1800 200 1000
5500 -1000 6000;
! Price in period t at which we can buy asset i;
PBUY= 3000 2000 2000! Can buy only;
99999 99999 99999 ! in 1st period;
99999 99999 99999
99999 99999 99999
99999 99999 99999
99999 99999 99999
99999 99999 99999;
! Price in period t at which we can sell asset i;
PSEL = -999999; ! Cannot sell these investments once made;
! One period lending rate, based on yield curve, circa 2005;
RLEND = .0326000 .0390110, .0373007 .0383024 .0393012 .0421093 .0437130;
! One period borrowing rate, assumed half point higher than lending;
RBORR = .0376000 .0440110, .0423007 .0433024 .0443012 .0471093 .0487130;
! Punchline: We buy a fair amount of F and M, but nothing of D;
ENDDATA
! Variables:
BUY(t,i) = units bought at beginning of period t of asset i,
SEL(t,i) = units sold at beginning of t of asset i,
HOLD(t,i) = units held at end of t of asset i,
BORR(t) = amount borrowed at beginning of t,
LEND(t) = amount lent at the beginning of t;
! Get index of final period;
TF = @SIZE( PERIOD);
! Maximize expected wealth in final period;
MAX = NWORTH;
NWORTH = @SUM( ASSET(i):
PAYOUT(TF,i)*HOLD(TF,i)
- PBUY(TF,i) *BUY(TF,i)
+ PSEL(TF,i) *SEL(TF,i))
+ (1 + RLEND(TF-1))*LEND(TF-1)
- (1 + RBORR(TF-1))*BORR(TF-1) - NEED(TF);
! First Period;
! Individual asset balances;
@FOR( ASSET(i):
HOLDIN(i) + BUY(1,i) = SEL(1,i) + HOLD(1,i);
HOLD(1,i) <= HOLDMX(i);
);
! Cash balance constraint;
! Cash inflows from investments + borrowings in 1
+ asset sales in 1 = asset purchases in 1 + loans made in 1
+ external liabilities in 1;
@SUM( ASSET(i): PAYOUT(1,i)*HOLDIN(i) + PSEL(1,i)*SEL(1,i)) + BORR(1)
= @SUM( ASSET(i):PBUY(1,i)*BUY(1,i)) + LEND(1) + NEED(1);
BORR(1) <= BORRMX(1); ! Borrowing limit;
! Same applies for subsequent periods;
@FOR( PERIOD( t) | t #GT# 1:
! For each asset type i: Ending inventory in t-1 + purchases
= sales + ending inventory in t;
@FOR( ASSET( i):
HOLD(t-1,i) + BUY(t,i) = SEL(t,i) + HOLD(t,i);
HOLD(t,i) <= HOLDMX(i);
);
! Cash inflows from investments + repayments from loans in t-1
+ borrowings in t + asset sales in t
= asset purchases in t + loans made in t
+ repayment of borrowings in previous period
+ external liabilities in t;
@SUM( ASSET(i): PAYOUT(t,i)*HOLD(t,i) + PSEL(t,i)*SEL(t,i))
+(1+RLEND(t-1))*LEND(t-1) + BORR(t) =
@SUM( ASSET(i): PBUY(t,i)*BUY(t,i)) + (1 + RBORR(t-1))*BORR(t-1) + LEND(t) + NEED(t);
BORR(t) <= BORRMX(t); ! Borrowing limit;
);
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