! The educational testing problem, illustrating @POSD.
! We are given a covariance matrix, thus it is positive definite.
We want to
maximize the sum of decrements to the diagonal of the matrix
such that the adjusted matrix is still positive semi-definite.
Application:
A comprehensive test consists of N subtests on different topics.
The overall score of a student who takes the test is the sum of the scores
on the N subtests.
If a large number of students take a test,
one measure of the goodness of the test is
how large the covariances among different subtests are relative
to the variances (the diagonal) in scores on a test.
The scores on the subtests of a well prepared test taker
taking a well prepared test should be positively correlated.
On the otherhand, if none of the test takers can understand
the questions, then the variances in scores will be large,
but the covariances between subtest scores will be close to zero.
Thus, a measure of interest is how large the variances are
relative to the covariances. One measure of this is to ask
how much we can decrease the diagonal terms (the variances on each test)
so the matrix remains positive semi-definite. For a good test,
the diagonal (variances) should be small relative to the off-diagonal (covariances);
! Make sure to turn on
Solver --> Options --> Nonlinear Solver --> Quadratic Recognition;
! Ref.
Fletcher, R.(1981), "A nonlinear programming problem in
statistics(Educational testing)", SIAM J. of Scientific and
Statistical Computing, vol. 2, no. 3, pp. 257-267.;
! Keywords: Positive definite, Test evaluation, Statistics, Covariance, POSD, SDP;
SETS:
TOPIC: DECR;
TXT( TOPIC, TOPIC) | &1 #GE# &2: COV, DCOV;
ENDSETS DATA:
TOPIC = 1..8;
! The covariances between scores on subtest topics
Data set 4 (subtests 1-8) of Fletcher;
COV =
415.0494
145.0295 358.5970
137.5789 253.4598 329.5784
203.4454 176.1280 132.2877 317.3929
54.44370 20.89211 16.58185 25.02679 145.1069
27.21131 4.179563 20.10516 13.21825 -0.7390873 51.71032
273.4955 84.07490 103.2530 120.0655 28.45883 16.54960 329.8482
241.9898 97.65253 121.0947 108.8581 27.29688 21.10020 204.0749 275.5652
;
ENDDATA
! Maximize the sum of the decreases to the variances;
MAX = @SUM( TOPIC(k): DECR(k));
! The covariance matrix with decremented diagonal;
@FOR( TOPIC(k): DCOV(k,k) = COV(k,k) - DECR(k));
! The off-diagonal terms remain unchanged;
@FOR( TXT(j,k) | k #NE# j:
DCOV(j,k) = COV(j,k);
@FREE( DCOV(j,k));
);
! It must be a valid covariance matrix;
@POSD( DCOV);
DATA:
! For a nice display, click on:
LINGO -> Options -> Interface -> Page size -> 100;
@TEXT() = 'The sub-test Covariance matrix:';
@TEXT() = @TABLE(COV);
@TEXT() = ' ';
@TEXT() = 'A Positive Semi-Definite matrix with smaller diagonal:';
@TEXT() = @TABLE(DCOV);
@TEXT() = ' ';
@TEXT() = 'The decreases to the diagonal:';
@TEXT() = @TABLE(DECR);
@TEXT() = ' ';
ENDDATA
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